Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 19:00
12.2941.3%
X3.1430.1%
23.3128.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
LWWDDLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Arouca
LWDDDWLDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.40
Against
6.50
12.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.30goals per match
Arouca conceded1.60
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.80goals per match
Boavista conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.50
12.00
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.10
Match total
4.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.60
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches812
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%41.7%+0.4 pp
Draw30.1%31.7%+1.5 pp
Away28.6%26.6%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.271.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-013.5%
0-010.1%
2-19.1%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.49
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=811.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches281
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.1%27.9%–38.8% CI
Draw FT42.3%36.7%–48.2% CI
Away FT24.6%19.9%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away43.1%