Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-27 · 19:00
11.2178.1%
X6.5614.4%
212.667.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WLWWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Estoril
WWDWDLLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.10
90%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.40
Against
6.10
10.30
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
3.40
Total goals
1.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.70goals per match
Estoril conceded1.10
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.40
Corners against
6.10
10.30
Match total
11.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
6.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
24.90
Match total
33.10

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
7.30
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.1%75.0%-3.1 pp
Draw14.4%15.0%+0.6 pp
Away7.5%10.0%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.480.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
2-011.7%
3-110.0%
4-010.0%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.603.42
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.0%