Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 20:30
11.2078.9%
X7.0513.4%
212.327.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWLWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
LDWLLLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
9.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Porto attack

3.10goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.70
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
9.30
Match total
11.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
29.40
Match total
27.90

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.50
On target
3.80
19%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.9%77.5%-1.4 pp
Draw13.4%11.3%-2.2 pp
Away7.7%11.3%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

2.450.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.9%
2-015.5%
3-09.9%
1-18.5%
4-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.392.76
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals44.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away55.6%