Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 20:30
18.2211.5%
X5.0218.9%
21.3669.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
LDLWLLWWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Benfica
WWWDWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
0.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
7.30N=10
5.80
Against
3.90
11.70
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
0.40
1.90
Total goals
2.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.20goals per match
Benfica conceded0.40
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.90goals per match
Vizela conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.90
11.70
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.70
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.90
Match total
27.70

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.60
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%16.3%+4.8 pp
Draw18.9%22.4%+3.6 pp
Away69.6%61.2%-8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

0.882.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.3%
1-214.3%
0-010.2%
2-18.2%
1-48.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.357.16
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.563.3%
Over 10.553.1%
Over 11.538.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away58.8%