Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 18:00
12.1444.2%
X3.2129.4%
23.5826.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Maritimo
LLLLDDWWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Santa Clara
LLLLWDLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.30
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.40
0.80
2H goals
0.80
50%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.40
Against
5.10
11.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
1.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Maritimo attack
0.70goals per matchSanta Clara conceded0.90Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.30goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.10
11.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.40
Match total
7.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
30.80
Match total
28.70
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.60
On target
1.80
5%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches453
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%40.4%-3.8 pp
Draw29.4%33.3%+3.9 pp
Away26.4%26.3%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.27–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-013.0%
0-011.3%
2-09.5%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.21
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches180
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.1%29.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT45.6%38.4%–52.8% CI
Away FT18.3%13.4%–24.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals7.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away40.0%