Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:30
12.3141.0%
X3.1530.0%
23.2629.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LLDWWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Casa Pia
DWWWLWWLLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
6.30
9.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.50goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.20
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.00goals per match
Arouca conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.30
9.10
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.80
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.50
Match total
28.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.60
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%42.9%+2.0 pp
Draw30.0%29.7%-0.3 pp
Away29.0%27.4%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.240.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-014.7%
0-09.8%
0-19.5%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.30
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=613.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches233
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%29.3%–41.5% CI
Draw FT41.2%35.1%–47.6% CI
Away FT23.6%18.6%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away43.8%