Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-24 · 20:15
11.8551.1%
X3.4027.8%
24.4821.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Famalicao
LWLWWLWDWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Portimonense
WWLLLWLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.40
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.10goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.70Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.80goals per matchFamalicao conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.40
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.80
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.20
Match total
25.40
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%53.5%+2.4 pp
Draw27.8%27.6%-0.2 pp
Away21.1%18.8%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS47.9%
Historical average
1.56–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-012.9%
1-112.4%
1-012.4%
2-111.5%
0-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.45–3.83
Average total9.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.523.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.9%35.4%–54.8% CI
Draw FT41.8%32.6%–51.7% CI
Away FT13.3%7.9%–21.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals11.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.2%
Away34.7%