Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-20 · 21:15
11.1979.7%
X6.8513.9%
214.826.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetBenfica: 10/10 · Boavista: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2022/23 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Boavista
WLWLLLLDL
2W 1D 6L · 0.78 PPM
Goals
3.20
Scored
0.89
0.80
Conceded
1.78
90%
Over 2.5
56%
50%
BTTS
44%
By half
2.30
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.67
90%
Goal in 2H
89%
Corners
8.90N=10
For
3.56N=9
2.30
Against
4.89
11.20
Total
8.44
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
3.20
Goals scored
0.89
0.80
Goals conceded
1.78
4.00
Total goals
2.67
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
3.20goals per matchBoavista conceded1.78Matchup
Boavista attack
0.89goals per matchBenfica conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
1.80
1H goals scored
0.56
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.44
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.33
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.33
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
8.90N=10
Corners for
3.56N=9
2.30
Corners against
4.89
11.20
Match total
8.44
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.78N=9
4.40
Match total
4.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
14.33N=9
22.40
Match total
27.44
Shots
22.20N=10
Shots
8.11N=9
8.00
On target
2.78
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.7%87.5%+7.8 pp
Draw13.9%8.9%-4.9 pp
Away6.4%3.6%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS28.6%
Historical average
2.41–0.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-023.2%
3-017.9%
1-012.5%
2-110.7%
4-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.39–2.34
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT77.8%54.8%–91.0% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals72.2%
3+ goals38.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.8%
Away16.7%