Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 20:30
12.4937.9%
X3.0930.6%
23.0031.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetCasa Pia: 10/10 · Guimaraes: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2022/23 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Casa Pia
LWDWLWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Guimaraes
WLLDWLLLW
3W 1D 5L · 1.11 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.78
0.80
Conceded
1.44
30%
Over 2.5
56%
30%
BTTS
33%
By half
0.10
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.22
80%
Goal in 2H
67%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.22N=9
3.50
Against
5.44
9.00
Total
9.67
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
0.80
Goals scored
0.78
0.80
Goals conceded
1.44
1.60
Total goals
2.22
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Casa Pia attack
0.80goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.44Matchup
Guimaraes attack
0.78goals per matchCasa Pia conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.10
1H goals scored
0.44
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.56
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.33
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.89
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.22N=9
3.50
Corners against
5.44
9.00
Match total
9.67
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
4.56N=9
4.70
Match total
7.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
15.78N=9
27.80
Match total
31.56
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
11.56N=9
3.70
On target
3.33
7%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%35.4%-2.6 pp
Draw30.6%34.8%+4.3 pp
Away31.5%29.8%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.14–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
0-013.1%
1-011.6%
2-111.1%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–4.35
Average total9.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.521.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%19.6%–40.6% CI
Draw FT49.3%37.8%–60.8% CI
Away FT21.7%13.6%–32.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal62.3%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.3%
Away40.6%