Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 15:30
12.9831.7%
X3.0431.1%
22.5437.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
DLWDLDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Famalicao
LDLLLLDWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.90
Against
4.80
10.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.10goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.90
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.70goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.80
10.70
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.90
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.60
Match total
31.30

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%33.7%+2.0 pp
Draw31.1%30.2%-0.9 pp
Away37.2%36.2%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.516.1%
BTTS43.2%

Historical average

1.051.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.6%
1-112.1%
0-012.1%
1-010.6%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.354.49
Average total8.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.7%
Over 9.538.2%
Over 10.527.1%
Over 11.520.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%22.7%–43.0% CI
Draw FT42.3%32.0%–53.4% CI
Away FT25.6%17.3%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals28.2%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away42.3%