Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 18:00
11.1781.1%
X7.3812.9%
215.776.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Porto
WWWWDDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Estoril
LWLLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.80
Against
5.80
9.50
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Porto attack
3.00goals per matchEstoril conceded1.60Matchup
Estoril attack
0.40goals per matchPorto conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.80
9.50
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.10
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.10
Match total
28.00
Shots
19.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.40
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.1%83.3%+2.2 pp
Draw12.9%10.4%-2.4 pp
Away6.0%6.3%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS39.6%
Historical average
2.60–0.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-016.7%
3-016.7%
1-010.4%
3-18.3%
5-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.09–2.60
Average total10.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.3%
Over 9.566.0%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.536.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away36.4%