Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 18:00
11.1781.1%
X7.3812.9%
215.776.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWDDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Estoril
LWLLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.80
Against
5.80
9.50
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Porto attack

3.00goals per match
Estoril conceded1.60
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.40goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.80
9.50
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.10
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.10
Match total
28.00

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.40
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.1%83.3%+2.2 pp
Draw12.9%10.4%-2.4 pp
Away6.0%6.3%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS39.6%

Historical average

2.600.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.7%
3-016.7%
1-010.4%
3-18.3%
5-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.092.60
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.3%
Over 9.566.0%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.536.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away36.4%