Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 15:30
12.3640.0%
X3.3128.5%
23.0031.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LLLLLDLWDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Belenenses
LLLDLLDDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.60
2.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.90
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.60
2.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.60goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.70
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.60goals per match
Arouca conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.20
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
30.40
Match total
33.60

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.20
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%40.8%+0.8 pp
Draw28.5%29.4%+0.8 pp
Away31.5%29.9%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.301.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
1-011.1%
0-19.7%
2-19.6%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.66
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=586.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.0%24.2%–36.5% CI
Draw FT39.5%33.2%–46.3% CI
Away FT30.5%24.6%–37.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away49.5%