Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-13 · 20:15
15.1618.3%
X4.4021.5%
21.5760.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
LLWDDWLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWDWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.60
1.30
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.20
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.90
Against
4.30
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

1.40goals per match
Benfica conceded1.10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.60goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.30
9.70
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.60
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
33.10
Match total
25.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.3%15.2%-3.1 pp
Draw21.5%21.7%+0.3 pp
Away60.2%63.0%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.891.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.0%
0-113.0%
1-310.9%
1-28.7%
1-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.466.20
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away58.3%