Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-13 · 20:15
15.1618.3%
X4.4021.5%
21.5760.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
LLWDDWLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWDWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.60
1.30
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
2.20
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.90
Against
4.30
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.40goals per matchBenfica conceded1.10Matchup
Benfica attack
2.60goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.30
9.70
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.60
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
33.10
Match total
25.80
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
21%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.3%15.2%-3.1 pp
Draw21.5%21.7%+0.3 pp
Away60.2%63.0%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.89–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-213.0%
0-113.0%
1-310.9%
1-28.7%
1-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.46–6.20
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away58.3%