Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-09 · 20:15
12.7434.4%
X3.1729.7%
22.6335.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Belenenses
LWLLWLDWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Famalicao
LDDLLWLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.20
Against
6.10
9.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.80goals per matchFamalicao conceded1.70Matchup
Famalicao attack
0.80goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.10
9.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
4.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.90
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
33.30
Match total
29.00
Shots
9.10N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.60
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches557
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%28.5%-5.9 pp
Draw29.7%32.1%+2.4 pp
Away35.8%39.3%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.11–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
0-112.9%
0-09.3%
2-19.2%
1-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.99–4.87
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=557.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches186
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.7%18.1%–30.3% CI
Draw FT41.9%35.1%–49.1% CI
Away FT34.4%28.0%–41.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.9%
Away53.8%