Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 20:30
18.0911.7%
X4.8619.4%
21.3768.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portimonense
LDLDLDLLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WLWWDDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.50
1.40
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
2.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.30
Against
2.80
10.80
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.90goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.90Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.50goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
2.80
10.80
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.70
Match total
6.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
28.30
Match total
29.60
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.80
On target
5.70
7%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.7%4.4%-7.2 pp
Draw19.4%22.2%+2.8 pp
Away68.9%73.3%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
0.76–2.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.6%
1-213.3%
1-113.3%
1-411.1%
0-26.7%
Comparable corner averages
2.91–6.98
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away90.0%