Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 18:00
13.1230.3%
X3.4927.1%
22.2242.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWDLWWDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Porto
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.30
0.80
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.20
Against
2.50
12.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.30
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
2.50
12.10
Match total
9.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.90
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
27.60
Match total
28.10

Shots

19.50N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
6.30
On target
6.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%29.5%-0.8 pp
Draw27.1%28.4%+1.3 pp
Away42.6%42.1%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

1.321.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
2-29.8%
0-28.2%
1-27.1%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.785.11
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.4%9.1%–30.7% CI
Draw FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI
Away FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals54.3%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.3%
Away67.4%