Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 18:00
13.1230.3%
X3.4927.1%
22.2242.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WWDLWWDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Porto
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
2.30
0.80
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.20
Against
2.50
12.10
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.30
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
2.20goals per matchPorto conceded0.60Matchup
Porto attack
2.30goals per matchBenfica conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
2.50
12.10
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.90
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
27.60
Match total
28.10
Shots
19.50N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
6.30
On target
6.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%29.5%-0.8 pp
Draw27.1%28.4%+1.3 pp
Away42.6%42.1%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS61.2%
Historical average
1.32–1.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.0%
2-29.8%
0-28.2%
1-27.1%
0-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.78–5.11
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.4%9.1%–30.7% CI
Draw FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI
Away FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals54.3%
3+ goals21.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.3%
Away67.4%