Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 15:30
12.5936.5%
X3.2928.7%
22.7234.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Estoril
DLLDWLWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Moreirense
LLWDLLDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
6.70
9.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Estoril attack
1.30goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.60Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.70goals per matchEstoril conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.70
9.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.80
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
28.50
Match total
29.90
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.30
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%32.3%-4.2 pp
Draw28.7%32.4%+3.7 pp
Away34.8%35.3%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.19–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
0-111.2%
0-09.3%
1-08.5%
2-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.60
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.526.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.1%19.2%–32.1% CI
Draw FT45.6%38.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT29.2%22.9%–36.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals9.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.6%
Away49.1%