Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 15:30
12.5936.5%
X3.2928.7%
22.7234.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DLLDWLWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Moreirense
LLWDLLDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
6.70
9.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.30goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.60
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.70goals per match
Estoril conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.70
9.10
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.80
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
28.50
Match total
29.90

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.30
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%32.3%-4.2 pp
Draw28.7%32.4%+3.7 pp
Away34.8%35.3%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.191.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-111.2%
0-09.3%
1-08.5%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.60
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.1%19.2%–32.1% CI
Draw FT45.6%38.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT29.2%22.9%–36.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals9.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.6%
Away49.1%