Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 17:00
16.1215.4%
X4.3022.0%
21.5162.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
WWWDDLDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Benfica
DWWLWWDWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.60
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.20
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
4.20
8.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
3.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.50goals per match
Benfica conceded1.20
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.60goals per match
Maritimo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.20
8.90
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.40
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
32.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.50
On target
5.60
14%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.4%13.1%-2.3 pp
Draw22.0%22.6%+0.6 pp
Away62.6%64.3%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

0.851.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.2%
0-29.5%
1-19.5%
0-18.3%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.076.43
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.561.9%
Over 10.551.2%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away69.6%