Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
11.9847.6%
X3.4127.6%
23.8124.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
WLLLLLDLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Portimonense
WWLLDDDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
2.20
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.90
8.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
2.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.70goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.80
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.90goals per match
Arouca conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.90
8.80
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.60
Match total
5.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
31.40
Match total
28.80

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.20
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches497
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%48.9%+1.3 pp
Draw27.6%26.8%-0.9 pp
Away24.7%24.3%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.551.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-011.3%
2-110.1%
0-18.5%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.614.23
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=497.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.4%33.3%–47.8% CI
Draw FT34.5%27.8%–41.9% CI
Away FT25.1%19.2%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away42.7%