Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 20:30
13.5126.9%
X3.5126.9%
22.0446.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tondela
WLLWLLLDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Guimaraes
LWLLDLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tondela attack
1.30goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.50Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.00goals per matchTondela conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.00
Match total
6.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.10N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
31.70
Match total
31.00
Shots
9.10N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.9%22.2%-4.7 pp
Draw26.9%35.0%+8.2 pp
Away46.2%42.7%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS51.3%
Historical average
1.05–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-017.9%
1-112.0%
0-111.1%
1-210.3%
2-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.28–6.12
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI
Draw FT53.2%39.2%–66.7% CI
Away FT34.0%22.2%–48.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal55.3%
2+ goals29.8%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home29.8%
Away46.8%