Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 20:30
13.5126.9%
X3.5126.9%
22.0446.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
WLLWLLLDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Guimaraes
LWLLDLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.50
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Tondela conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.00
Match total
6.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
31.70
Match total
31.00

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.9%22.2%-4.7 pp
Draw26.9%35.0%+8.2 pp
Away46.2%42.7%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.051.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-017.9%
1-112.0%
0-111.1%
1-210.3%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.286.12
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI
Draw FT53.2%39.2%–66.7% CI
Away FT34.0%22.2%–48.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal55.3%
2+ goals29.8%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.8%
Away46.8%