Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 18:00
11.8052.5%
X3.3628.1%
24.8619.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DDLLDWLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Belenenses
LLLLDLLDDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.40
1.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
8.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.30goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.70
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.40goals per match
Estoril conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
8.80
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.20
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
28.30
Match total
34.20

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.5%48.3%-4.2 pp
Draw28.1%31.5%+3.4 pp
Away19.4%20.3%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.550.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-012.6%
2-012.6%
0-19.8%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.613.58
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.523.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI
Away FT32.1%21.1%–45.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away50.9%