Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 18:00
11.8052.5%
X3.3628.1%
24.8619.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Estoril
DDLLDWLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Belenenses
LLLLDLLDDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.40
1.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
8.80
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Estoril attack
1.30goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.70Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.40goals per matchEstoril conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
8.80
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.20
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
28.30
Match total
34.20
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.5%48.3%-4.2 pp
Draw28.1%31.5%+3.4 pp
Away19.4%20.3%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.55–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-012.6%
2-012.6%
0-19.8%
0-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.61–3.58
Average total9.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.523.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI
Away FT32.1%21.1%–45.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.6%
Away50.9%