Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:30
12.4039.3%
X3.2329.2%
22.9931.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portimonense
WLDLDLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Moreirense
LLLWDLLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Against
6.60
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portimonense attack
1.00goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.70Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.80goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.60
10.70
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
4.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.40
Match total
28.90
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches474
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%36.7%-2.6 pp
Draw29.2%33.8%+4.6 pp
Away31.5%29.5%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
1.18–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
0-011.8%
0-110.8%
1-010.8%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.58
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=474.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.7%18.0%–30.6% CI
Draw FT49.1%41.8%–56.5% CI
Away FT27.2%21.1%–34.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals15.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away48.0%