Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:30
12.4039.3%
X3.2329.2%
22.9931.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
WLDLDLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Moreirense
LLLWDLLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Against
6.60
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.00goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.70
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.80goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.60
10.70
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

4.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.90
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.40
Match total
28.90

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches474
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%36.7%-2.6 pp
Draw29.2%33.8%+4.6 pp
Away31.5%29.5%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.181.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-011.8%
0-110.8%
1-010.8%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.58
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=474.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.7%18.0%–30.6% CI
Draw FT49.1%41.8%–56.5% CI
Away FT27.2%21.1%–34.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away48.0%