Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 20:30
12.0745.6%
X3.4227.6%
23.5326.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Benfica
WDWWLWWDWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.50
0.40
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
2.10
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
6.70N=10
2.20
Against
4.20
7.60
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.50
0.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.90goals per matchBenfica conceded1.20Matchup
Benfica attack
2.50goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
2.20
Corners against
4.20
7.60
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.20
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
29.20
Match total
25.80
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.10
On target
5.90
12%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%46.9%+1.3 pp
Draw27.6%31.9%+4.2 pp
Away26.8%21.2%-5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.62–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
1-011.9%
2-08.8%
2-27.1%
2-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.46
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%30.1%–54.3% CI
Draw FT38.3%27.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%11.8%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals21.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.0%
Away46.7%