Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 20:30
11.1383.3%
X7.9911.8%
219.074.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWWDDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Portimonense
LWWLLDDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.30
Against
6.30
9.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.50goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.40
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.90goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.30
9.20
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.40
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.50
Match total
29.90

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.40
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.3%96.4%+13.1 pp
Draw11.8%0.0%-11.8 pp
Away4.9%3.6%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.557.1%
BTTS28.6%

Historical average

3.180.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.4%
5-017.9%
2-014.3%
4-07.1%
3-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.391.96
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.9%47.6%–77.5% CI
Draw FT19.4%9.8%–35.0% CI
Away FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%