Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 15:30
12.0645.7%
X3.3428.2%
23.6126.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DDLWLWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Tondela
LLLDDWLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.00
Total goals
3.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.80goals per match
Tondela conceded2.10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.10goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
29.40
Match total
32.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.70
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches316
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%44.3%-1.4 pp
Draw28.2%30.1%+1.9 pp
Away26.1%25.6%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.421.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-012.3%
2-110.1%
0-18.9%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.41
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=316.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.4%27.2%–44.6% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.3%–49.0% CI
Away FT24.8%17.7%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away44.2%