Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 15:30
12.0645.7%
X3.3428.2%
23.6126.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
DDLWLWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Tondela
LLLDDWLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.00
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.80goals per matchTondela conceded2.10Matchup
Tondela attack
1.10goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
29.40
Match total
32.00
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.70
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches316
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%44.3%-1.4 pp
Draw28.2%30.1%+1.9 pp
Away26.1%25.6%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.42–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
1-012.3%
2-110.1%
0-18.9%
0-08.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.33–4.41
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=316.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.529.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.4%27.2%–44.6% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.3%–49.0% CI
Away FT24.8%17.7%–33.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals9.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away44.2%