Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-15 · 15:30
12.4438.6%
X3.0930.5%
23.0530.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
WWLLLLLDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Santa Clara
LDLLWDLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
2.10
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
4.30
8.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.80goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.70
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Arouca conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.30
8.40
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.80
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
31.60
Match total
29.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
2.70
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches367
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%42.0%+3.3 pp
Draw30.5%30.5%+0.0 pp
Away30.9%27.5%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.200.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-013.4%
0-012.8%
0-110.4%
2-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.46
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=367.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches148
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%24.8%–39.6% CI
Draw FT43.2%35.5%–51.3% CI
Away FT25.0%18.7%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals30.4%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.0%
Away41.2%