Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-10 · 18:00
16.5814.4%
X4.4121.4%
21.4764.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LWWWDWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Porto
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.80
1.70
Conceded
0.60
90%
Over 2.5
70%
100%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
7.40N=10
5.10
Against
2.40
10.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.80
1.70
Goals conceded
0.60
3.70
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

2.00goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Matchup

Porto attack

2.80goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.10
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
7.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
2.40
10.60
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
5.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
30.30
Match total
28.50

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
18.50N=10
5.60
On target
7.00
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%10.0%-4.4 pp
Draw21.4%16.0%-5.4 pp
Away64.2%74.0%+9.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

0.742.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.0%
0-118.0%
1-110.0%
0-28.0%
1-48.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.806.62
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away82.4%