Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 20:30
19.579.9%
X4.9719.0%
21.3371.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tondela
LWLLWLLLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWLWWDDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.40
2.00
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.60
Against
3.20
9.70
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.40
2.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tondela attack
1.30goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.90Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.40goals per matchTondela conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.20
9.70
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Match total
6.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
32.20
Match total
31.30
Shots
9.10N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
3.90
On target
5.60
14%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.9%2.9%-7.0 pp
Draw19.0%11.4%-7.6 pp
Away71.1%85.7%+14.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS34.3%
Historical average
0.43–2.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.1%
0-217.1%
0-414.3%
0-311.4%
1-211.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.49–6.46
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home10.0%
Away80.0%