Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 20:30
19.579.9%
X4.9719.0%
21.3371.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
LWLLWLLLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWLWWDDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.40
2.00
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.60
Against
3.20
9.70
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.40
2.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.40goals per match
Tondela conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.20
9.70
Match total
7.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Match total
6.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
32.20
Match total
31.30

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
3.90
On target
5.60
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.9%2.9%-7.0 pp
Draw19.0%11.4%-7.6 pp
Away71.1%85.7%+14.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS34.3%

Historical average

0.432.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.1%
0-217.1%
0-414.3%
0-311.4%
1-211.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.496.46
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home10.0%
Away80.0%