Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 18:00
11.1681.2%
X7.1813.1%
216.605.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WLWWDLWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Belenenses
DLLLLDLLDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
0.70
100%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
5.20
10.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
1.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.60goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.40
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.30goals per match
Benfica conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.20
10.50
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.90
Match total
6.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
17.90N=10
27.10
Match total
34.20

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.20
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.2%84.8%+3.6 pp
Draw13.1%13.0%-0.1 pp
Away5.7%2.2%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

2.630.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
3-015.2%
2-010.9%
2-110.9%
1-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.852.41
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away30.8%