Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:30
12.2941.2%
X3.1430.0%
23.2728.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
DLLLWDDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Maritimo
LLDLWWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.60
Against
6.00
10.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.10goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.80Matchup
Maritimo attack
1.40goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.00
10.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.90
Match total
6.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
32.80
Match total
33.20
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
2.90
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches549
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.2%+0.0 pp
Draw30.0%32.6%+2.6 pp
Away28.8%26.2%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS49.9%
Historical average
1.27–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-012.4%
0-010.6%
0-18.9%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.10–4.46
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=549.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.526.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.5%26.3%–39.3% CI
Draw FT44.2%37.4%–51.1% CI
Away FT23.4%18.0%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.8%
Away43.7%