Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 20:30
11.2178.2%
X6.0715.6%
215.196.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LDLWLDDLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.70
0.40
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.00
Against
5.70
7.80
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
0.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.80goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded0.90Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.70goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.00
Corners against
5.70
7.80
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
28.70
Match total
31.60
Shots
16.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.20
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.2%77.8%-0.4 pp
Draw15.6%16.7%+1.1 pp
Away6.2%5.6%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
2.11–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-027.8%
2-211.1%
2-011.1%
3-011.1%
1-15.6%
Comparable corner averages
7.78–2.17
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.9%62.3%–98.4% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away18.2%