Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 18:00
12.9332.2%
X3.2728.9%
22.4338.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WDDLWLWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Guimaraes
LLWLLDLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.60
Against
5.50
10.00
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.60
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.50
10.00
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.00
Match total
6.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
29.20
Match total
30.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches231
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%31.6%-0.6 pp
Draw28.9%25.5%-3.3 pp
Away38.9%42.9%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.171.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
0-113.0%
2-110.0%
1-28.7%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.875.11
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=231.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%20.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT31.0%21.4%–42.5% CI
Away FT39.4%28.9%–51.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals43.7%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.5%
Away62.0%