Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 18:00
12.3340.6%
X3.3228.5%
23.0630.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DDDDLLDWLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Vizela
DDLWLWDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.80
8.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.50goals per match
Vizela conceded1.80
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.40goals per match
Estoril conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.80
8.70
Match total
11.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.80
Match total
6.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
29.80
Match total
29.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches518
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%41.7%+1.1 pp
Draw28.5%29.2%+0.7 pp
Away30.9%29.2%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.411.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-010.0%
0-09.7%
2-19.3%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.69
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=518.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%25.8%–39.7% CI
Draw FT44.5%37.3%–52.0% CI
Away FT23.1%17.5%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away45.7%