Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 18:00
13.2629.0%
X3.3128.6%
22.2342.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arouca
LWWLLLLLDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
DWDWWDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.60
2.20
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
7.30
7.90
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
2.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arouca attack
0.70goals per matchGil Vicente conceded0.80Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.60goals per matchArouca conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.30
7.90
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.90
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
32.50
Match total
26.40
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.00
On target
4.70
6%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches297
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%26.9%-2.1 pp
Draw28.6%30.3%+1.7 pp
Away42.4%42.8%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS44.1%
Historical average
0.94–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-011.8%
0-011.8%
0-111.8%
0-28.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–5.04
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=297.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.524.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%16.2%–31.9% CI
Draw FT48.1%39.0%–57.5% CI
Away FT28.7%21.0%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.7%
Away48.1%