Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 18:00
13.2629.0%
X3.3128.6%
22.2342.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LWWLLLLLDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
DWDWWDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.60
2.20
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
7.30
7.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
2.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.70goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded0.80
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.60goals per match
Arouca conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.30
7.90
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.90
Match total
6.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
32.50
Match total
26.40

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.00
On target
4.70
6%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches297
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%26.9%-2.1 pp
Draw28.6%30.3%+1.7 pp
Away42.4%42.8%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

0.941.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-011.8%
0-011.8%
0-111.8%
0-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.04
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=297.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%16.2%–31.9% CI
Draw FT48.1%39.0%–57.5% CI
Away FT28.7%21.0%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.7%
Away48.1%