Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 20:45
17.4012.8%
X4.6720.2%
21.4167.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DDLDWDDDDD
1W 8D 1L · 1.10 PPM
Porto
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.90
1.40
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
7.50N=10
4.80
Against
2.30
10.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.90
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Matchup

Porto attack

2.90goals per match
Boavista conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
7.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
2.30
10.50
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

4.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
7.20
Match total
6.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
30.30
Match total
28.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
19.10N=10
4.40
On target
7.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.8%5.5%-7.3 pp
Draw20.2%19.2%-1.1 pp
Away67.0%75.3%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

0.682.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.5%
0-115.1%
0-212.3%
1-111.0%
1-49.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.086.37
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Draw FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Away FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away76.2%