Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 15:30
12.2841.4%
X3.2029.5%
23.2429.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
DDLLLWDDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Moreirense
DLLLLWDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.50
Against
5.80
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

1.10goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.50
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.50goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.80
10.40
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.70
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
32.50
Match total
29.20

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
2.80
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches525
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%39.0%-2.3 pp
Draw29.5%34.7%+5.2 pp
Away29.1%26.3%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.241.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-011.0%
1-010.7%
2-18.6%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.50
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=525.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches186
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.1%24.0%–37.0% CI
Draw FT45.7%38.7%–52.9% CI
Away FT24.2%18.6%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away43.5%