Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 20:30
14.9419.1%
X3.9124.1%
21.6656.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
DLWWWDWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWWLWWDDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.30
1.40
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.50
Against
3.40
11.30
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.30
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.90goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.40
11.30
Match total
8.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.60
Match total
7.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
31.60
Match total
32.60

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.50
On target
5.80
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.1%22.6%+3.5 pp
Draw24.1%22.6%-1.5 pp
Away56.8%54.8%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

0.971.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
0-111.8%
0-310.8%
1-37.5%
2-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.025.85
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.3%
Away57.7%