Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 18:00
11.5859.8%
X3.8024.9%
26.1515.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
DLLWWWDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Belenenses
DDLLLLDLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.80
8.50
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.50goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.60Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.50goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.80
8.50
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.10N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
30.00
Match total
34.20
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.8%67.4%+7.7 pp
Draw24.9%23.3%-1.6 pp
Away15.4%9.3%-6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS41.9%
Historical average
1.81–0.66
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-019.8%
3-014.0%
2-012.8%
2-110.5%
2-29.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–3.38
Average total9.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.543.0%
Over 10.530.2%
Over 11.519.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%49.6%–80.2% CI
Draw FT30.3%17.4%–47.3% CI
Away FT3.0%0.5%–15.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away24.2%