Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 15:30
12.6236.0%
X3.2329.2%
22.7234.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
WLWLLWLLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Arouca
LDDLDLWDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.60
Against
4.30
9.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.40goals per match
Arouca conceded1.20
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.00goals per match
Tondela conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.30
9.70
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.70
Match total
7.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
32.50
Match total
33.40

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches494
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%31.6%-4.5 pp
Draw29.2%35.6%+6.4 pp
Away34.7%32.8%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.181.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-110.3%
0-010.1%
2-18.7%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.77
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=493.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%21.3%–34.9% CI
Draw FT49.1%41.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT23.3%17.5%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.9%
Away44.8%