Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-14 · 20:15
17.3212.9%
X4.4221.3%
21.4365.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DWDDLWLWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWWWLWWDD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.20
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.30
Against
3.80
10.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.20goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.80
10.00
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.70
Match total
6.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.00
Match total
30.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.70
On target
5.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.9%3.4%-9.4 pp
Draw21.3%17.2%-4.1 pp
Away65.8%79.3%+13.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

0.722.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-224.1%
0-113.8%
1-110.3%
0-410.3%
0-36.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.485.38
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.537.9%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.517.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away72.7%