Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 15:30
12.8133.6%
X3.2629.0%
22.5237.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Maritimo
DDLWWWDDLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Guimaraes
WLLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.50
Against
6.00
9.40
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Maritimo attack
1.30goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.70Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.00goals per matchMaritimo conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.00
9.40
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.90
Match total
6.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
33.40
Match total
30.50
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.60
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches335
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%31.3%-2.2 pp
Draw29.0%26.9%-2.1 pp
Away37.5%41.8%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS55.2%
Historical average
1.20–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
0-111.9%
2-18.7%
1-08.1%
0-26.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–5.03
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=335.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%16.4%–32.2% CI
Draw FT36.4%27.9%–45.9% CI
Away FT40.2%31.4%–49.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.1%
Away62.6%