Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 18:00
12.3939.5%
X3.1130.4%
23.1430.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
DLWWLLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
DLDLWLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
2.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.00
Against
5.60
7.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
2.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
1.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.90goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.00
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.70goals per match
Arouca conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.60
7.40
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.30
Match total
6.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
32.20
Match total
31.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.10
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches485
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%39.4%-0.1 pp
Draw30.4%33.4%+3.0 pp
Away30.1%27.2%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.191.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-012.2%
0-012.0%
0-19.7%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.47
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=485.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.524.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches187
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.0%24.8%–38.0% CI
Draw FT46.0%39.0%–53.1% CI
Away FT23.0%17.5%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away42.2%