Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:30
12.2342.3%
X3.1330.1%
23.4127.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
LDDDDLLDWL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Portimonense
DWLWWLLDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Against
7.70
8.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.30goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.10goals per match
Estoril conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.70
8.70
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.70
Match total
6.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.90
Match total
30.10

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches504
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%41.7%-0.6 pp
Draw30.1%33.9%+3.8 pp
Away27.6%24.4%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS46.0%

Historical average

1.250.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.7%
1-012.1%
0-011.9%
2-010.1%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.22
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=504.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.543.5%
Over 10.532.7%
Over 11.522.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches186
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.9%27.5%–40.9% CI
Draw FT47.8%40.8%–55.0% CI
Away FT18.3%13.4%–24.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away40.3%