Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:30
12.2342.3%
X3.1330.1%
23.4127.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Estoril
LDDDDLLDWL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Portimonense
DWLWWLLDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Against
7.70
8.70
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Estoril attack
1.30goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.10Matchup
Portimonense attack
1.10goals per matchEstoril conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.70
8.70
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.70
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.90
Match total
30.10
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches504
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%41.7%-0.6 pp
Draw30.1%33.9%+3.8 pp
Away27.6%24.4%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS46.0%
Historical average
1.25–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.7%
1-012.1%
0-011.9%
2-010.1%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.22
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=504.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.543.5%
Over 10.532.7%
Over 11.522.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches186
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.9%27.5%–40.9% CI
Draw FT47.8%40.8%–55.0% CI
Away FT18.3%13.4%–24.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.6%
Away40.3%