Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-11 · 20:15
11.2675.5%
X6.2615.2%
210.189.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WLWLWWDLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Vizela
DDDLWLWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
6.80
10.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.60goals per match
Vizela conceded1.90
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.50goals per match
Benfica conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.80
10.30
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.90
Match total
6.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
28.50
Match total
30.40

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.00
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.5%69.4%-6.1 pp
Draw15.2%14.3%-0.9 pp
Away9.3%16.3%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.555.1%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

2.651.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-110.2%
4-08.2%
3-08.2%
1-08.2%
5-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.273.39
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.567.3%
Over 10.555.1%
Over 11.538.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away53.8%