Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 20:00
12.1843.6%
X3.4227.8%
23.3128.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
LWLWWDWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Farense
LWDDLWLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
9.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.80goals per match
Farense conceded1.40
Matchup

Farense attack

0.90goals per match
Santa Clara conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
9.60
Match total
11.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.70
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
33.30
Match total
33.10

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches306
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%42.8%-0.7 pp
Draw27.8%28.8%+1.0 pp
Away28.7%28.4%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.411.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
1-112.7%
1-09.8%
0-09.2%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.40
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=306.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.9%27.3%–45.5% CI
Draw FT40.8%31.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT23.3%16.2%–32.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away44.7%