Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 20:00
15.2118.2%
X3.7925.0%
21.6756.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
LLWLLLLLWL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Rio Ave
LDLWLDDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
2.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.80
Against
6.30
10.80
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.90goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.40
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.80goals per match
Nacional conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.30
10.80
Match total
11.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.20
Match total
3.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.70
Match total
30.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.00
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%18.9%+0.7 pp
Draw25.0%24.5%-0.5 pp
Away56.8%56.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

0.981.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.9%
0-115.1%
1-215.1%
0-29.4%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.515.34
Average total8.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.539.6%
Over 10.524.5%
Over 11.518.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away72.7%