Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 20:00
13.2629.1%
X3.5227.0%
22.1643.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DDLDDDDLDD
0W 8D 2L · 0.80 PPM
Famalicao
WLLWLWDWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.90
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.30
Against
4.90
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.40goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.30
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.60goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.90
9.30
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.80
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
30.20
Match total
31.40

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.1%22.1%-7.0 pp
Draw27.0%29.7%+2.7 pp
Away43.9%48.3%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

0.951.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.4%
0-211.7%
0-011.0%
1-110.3%
0-110.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.634.94
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=145.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.1%10.4%–32.5% CI
Draw FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI
Away FT34.0%22.2%–48.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals21.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.2%
Away57.4%