Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-19 · 18:00
11.2575.9%
X5.9615.9%
211.588.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WDWDDWWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Belenenses
LLDDWDDDLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.10
Against
6.40
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.00
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.90goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.40
8.80
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
32.50
Match total
31.30

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.40
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.9%84.4%+8.5 pp
Draw15.9%12.5%-3.4 pp
Away8.2%3.1%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS65.6%

Historical average

2.440.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-128.1%
3-118.8%
2-012.5%
3-09.4%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.033.34
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%54.8%–93.0% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals53.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.3%
Away46.7%