Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-18 · 20:15
13.0531.0%
X3.3028.6%
22.3440.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
WWWWWLLWLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
WWWLLLLLDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
9.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.20goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.40
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.90goals per match
Tondela conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
9.90
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
29.70
Match total
30.90

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%28.7%-2.3 pp
Draw28.6%22.4%-6.3 pp
Away40.4%48.9%+8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

0.971.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.9%
1-111.8%
1-010.1%
1-29.3%
0-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.19
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.1%20.3%–39.9% CI
Draw FT31.6%22.4%–42.5% CI
Away FT39.2%29.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.8%
Away57.0%