Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 15:00
11.8750.4%
X3.6126.1%
24.0223.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LLLDDDWLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Nacional
DDWLLLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
0.50
2H goals
1.50
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.80goals per match
Nacional conceded1.80
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.80goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.60
Match total
5.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
19.30N=10
32.60
Match total
36.20

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.90
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%51.4%+1.0 pp
Draw26.1%27.9%+1.8 pp
Away23.5%20.7%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.580.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.0%
1-111.1%
2-011.1%
0-09.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.61
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%29.7%–51.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.2%–49.0% CI
Away FT22.2%14.2%–33.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away40.3%