Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 15:00
11.8750.4%
X3.6126.1%
24.0223.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Famalicao
LLLDDDWLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Nacional
DDWLLLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
0.50
2H goals
1.50
40%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Famalicao attack
0.80goals per matchNacional conceded1.80Matchup
Nacional attack
0.80goals per matchFamalicao conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.60
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
19.30N=10
32.60
Match total
36.20
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.90
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%51.4%+1.0 pp
Draw26.1%27.9%+1.8 pp
Away23.5%20.7%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.58–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.0%
1-111.1%
2-011.1%
0-09.1%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–4.61
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%29.7%–51.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.2%–49.0% CI
Away FT22.2%14.2%–33.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.2%
Away40.3%